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Red50
20509.7
26207.6
24519.7
Blue28
216313.2
83015.9
262713.3
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions343802060801005028

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
245
#37
19.70.8
17.618.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.8
830
#39
15.90.5
16.315.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2050
#54
9.71.3
8.810.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.6
2627
#45
13.30.8
8.37.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2620
#48
7.61.3
8.49.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.6
2163
#44
13.20.8
13.112.3
Auto
Teleop
End