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Red4
262713.3
22247.8
159610.7
Blue60
12169.4
19418.9
32625.6
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions214106080460

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2627
#45
13.37.1
13.36.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 12.3
326
#17
25.61.2
17.919.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1596
#26
10.71.4
7.56.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.3
1216
#49
9.41.8
11.613.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2224
#60
7.81.6
8.26.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.1
1941
#46
8.91.5
9.410.9
Auto
Teleop
End