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Red40
3136.2
199817.2
261213.9
Blue18
216313.2
2408.1
17019.2
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions37331020506070804018

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1998
#24
17.20.2
17.017.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.0
2163
#44
13.21.2
14.413.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2612
#11
13.90.3
13.713.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.7
1701
#33
9.20.8
10.09.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
313
#47
6.20.3
6.06.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.8
240
#38
8.11.3
9.48.1
Auto
Teleop
End