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Red46
20419.7
167516.9
253311.2
Blue2
20397.7
24326.1
23388.8
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions24250102030405060462

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
16.91.8
9.511.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 8.1
2338
#29
8.85.0
10.95.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2533
#27
11.21.6
11.29.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.5
2039
#22
7.71.9
9.07.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2041
#30
9.71.8
6.58.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.7
2432
#39
6.10.1
6.15.9
Auto
Teleop
End