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Red38
247411.9
17204.2
176610.8
Blue0
150115.7
3934.1
21454.4
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions23270406080100380

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2474
#12
11.91.2
7.99.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.8
1501
#23
15.72.2
14.111.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1766
#17
10.81.2
8.19.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.5
2145
#36
4.42.2
6.13.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1720
#39
4.21.2
7.89.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.1
393
#38
4.12.2
6.54.3
Auto
Teleop
End