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Red58
102433.5
247411.9
46119.5
Blue62
17479.3
11128.9
176610.8
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions504302060801005862

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.50.5
30.631.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.6
111
#1
28.91.0
26.427.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
461
#2
19.50.8
11.512.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 8.7
1766
#17
10.81.5
9.410.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2474
#12
11.90.8
6.97.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.7
1747
#25
9.31.5
8.39.8
Auto
Teleop
End