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Red54
100013.1
11128.9
164612.6
Blue44
29223.1
20116.7
176610.8
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions445002060801005444

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
111
#1
28.90.5
27.427.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.9
292
#5
23.10.3
24.123.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1000
#10
13.10.8
9.610.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.6
201
#16
16.70.5
14.614.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1646
#30
12.60.8
7.88.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.8
1766
#17
10.80.5
10.910.4
Auto
Teleop
End