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Red40
176610.8
15297.1
44720.2
Blue0
8688.0
13515.4
17204.2
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions27320102040506070400

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
447
#14
20.21.0
10.811.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.8
135
#32
15.41.6
15.814.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1766
#17
10.81.0
10.411.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.8
868
#34
8.01.6
6.04.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1529
#21
7.11.0
6.47.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.9
1720
#39
4.22.6
9.36.7
Auto
Teleop
End