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Red40
101811.1
150115.7
21979.4
Blue38
164612.6
13515.4
198519.0
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions27450204060801004038

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1501
#23
15.70.9
13.214.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.3
1985
#22
19.00.3
16.616.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1018
#20
11.10.7
10.711.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.4
135
#32
15.40.3
17.116.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
9.40.8
5.26.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.2
1646
#30
12.60.4
9.49.0
Auto
Teleop
End