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Red60
21454.4
176013.4
46119.5
Blue30
15297.1
217116.6
21979.4
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions26340204060806030

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
461
#2
19.52.6
14.417.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.9
2171
#27
16.60.2
15.915.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1760
#26
13.42.6
10.312.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.0
9.40.2
10.19.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2145
#36
4.42.6
2.04.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.8
1529
#21
7.10.2
7.26.9
Auto
Teleop
End