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Red20
11128.9
176013.4
13515.4
Blue52
174120.5
208120.5
21517.6
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5641020801002052

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
111
#1
28.92.3
28.125.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 8.4
20.50.6
15.115.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
135
#32
15.42.1
16.714.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.1
2081
#13
20.50.6
17.618.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1760
#26
13.42.9
9.46.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.8
2151
#29
7.60.8
10.110.9
Auto
Teleop
End