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Red0
22305.5
19378.6
Blue20
169014.9
19468.2
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14250406080100120140020

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1937
Unranked
8.60.8
9.48.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 6.3
1690
Unranked
14.90.2
15.415.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2230
Unranked
5.50.8
6.45.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.6
1946
Unranked
8.20.2
8.68.4
Auto
Teleop
End