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Red16
19468.2
26691.7
Blue20
263012.5
157425.1
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions449204060801001201401601620

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1946
Unranked
8.20.4
8.48.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 16.9
1574
Unranked
25.11.2
29.728.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2669
Unranked
1.70.4
1.61.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 10.7
2630
Unranked
12.51.2
13.512.3
Auto
Teleop
End