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Red114
7141.7
150333.5
21737.7
Blue146
17129.8
9330.4
2740.1
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1189950150200114146

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
71
Unranked
41.70.0
42.542.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.6
27
Unranked
40.10.7
40.641.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
217
Unranked
37.70.0
38.538.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.3
93
Unranked
30.40.7
30.931.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1503
Unranked
33.50.0
34.234.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.6
171
Unranked
29.80.7
30.231.0
Auto
Teleop
End