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Red58
36414.6
102439.7
4524.4
Blue122
219417.6
150117.7
49438.5
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions956305015058122

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1024
Unranked
39.71.6
41.640.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.2
494
Unranked
38.52.7
34.537.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
45
Unranked
24.41.6
29.828.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.7
1501
Unranked
17.73.3
17.921.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
364
Unranked
14.61.6
19.217.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.1
2194
Unranked
17.62.7
15.117.8
Auto
Teleop
End