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Red108
46116.7
17129.8
102439.7
Blue100
4815.5
50325.2
6829.6
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8263050100150200108100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1024
Unranked
39.71.4
37.438.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 10.1
68
Unranked
29.61.7
25.327.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
171
Unranked
29.81.4
28.329.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.6
503
Unranked
25.21.7
22.824.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
461
Unranked
16.71.4
14.015.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.2
48
Unranked
15.51.7
17.319.0
Auto
Teleop
End