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Red60
147720.8
83221.2
88817.5
Blue76
6829.6
57314.5
219417.6
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions63623040507080901006076

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
832
Unranked
21.20.1
21.721.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 8.4
68
Unranked
29.60.7
27.127.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1477
Unranked
20.80.1
23.323.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.2
2194
Unranked
17.60.7
17.918.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
888
Unranked
17.50.1
17.317.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.0
573
Unranked
14.50.7
17.518.1
Auto
Teleop
End