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Red146
217134.8
101814.1
33045.5
Blue122
7029.1
49438.5
9330.4
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions96946080100120140146122

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
330
Unranked
45.52.6
49.051.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.0
494
Unranked
38.51.4
35.336.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2171
Unranked
34.82.6
31.734.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.4
93
Unranked
30.41.4
31.733.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1018
Unranked
14.12.6
13.816.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 15.0
70
Unranked
29.11.4
28.029.4
Auto
Teleop
End