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Red88
33045.5
36839.1
10089.2
Blue92
4524.4
21737.7
6829.6
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10389501502008892

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
330
Unranked
45.50.6
51.550.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.8
217
Unranked
37.70.1
36.736.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
368
Unranked
39.10.6
39.338.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 9.6
68
Unranked
29.60.1
27.727.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1008
Unranked
9.20.6
10.09.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 15.2
45
Unranked
24.40.1
26.326.4
Auto
Teleop
End