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Red22
46116.7
8689.1
17478.3
Blue88
167515.4
3334.4
46933.3
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions31890501001502288

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
461
Unranked
16.70.8
17.516.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 17.7
33
Unranked
34.40.3
32.833.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
868
Unranked
9.10.8
10.29.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 24.2
469
Unranked
33.30.3
32.933.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1747
Unranked
8.30.8
10.59.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 7.2
1675
Unranked
15.40.3
16.016.3
Auto
Teleop
End