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Red112
111465.3
205647.7
1632.9
Blue120
162541.8
102439.7
112636.2
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions153113050100200250112120

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1114
Unranked
65.30.6
65.965.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 23.6
1625
Unranked
41.80.0
42.042.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2056
Unranked
47.70.6
48.347.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 8.0
1024
Unranked
39.70.0
39.939.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
16
Unranked
32.90.6
33.532.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.3
1126
Unranked
36.20.0
36.536.5
Auto
Teleop
End