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Red46
221415.0
263011.5
22306.5
Blue8
19440.5
265010.0
15804.8
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions38130206080100468

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
15.00.2
15.615.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.0
10.00.1
10.210.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
11.50.2
12.112.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.7
1580
#16
4.80.2
4.94.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2230
#22
6.50.2
7.27.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.0
1944
#33
0.50.2
0.70.5
Auto
Teleop
End