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Red20
19423.5
22163.8
263011.5
Blue0
26691.6
19552.7
22134.0
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions26200406080100120200

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
11.50.5
5.85.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.5
2213
#28
4.01.7
6.95.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2216
#32
3.80.5
7.87.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.2
1955
#26
2.71.7
8.46.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1942
#35
3.50.5
11.811.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.9
2669
#31
1.61.7
5.43.6
Auto
Teleop
End