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Red28
15736.7
15777.8
22576.3
Blue12
19524.5
19423.5
22125.6
43%Model gave it57%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions18200103040502812

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1577
#11
7.80.8
7.28.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.2
2212
#10
5.60.7
6.86.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1573
#14
6.70.8
3.94.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.1
1952
#25
4.50.7
3.52.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2257
#13
6.30.8
7.07.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.9
1942
#35
3.50.7
9.79.1
Auto
Teleop
End