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Red20
26724.9
15804.8
19552.7
Blue4
2679-1.1
19496.1
19524.5
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions167020304050607080204

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2672
#12
4.90.4
3.33.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.2
1949
#24
6.10.4
3.93.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1580
#16
4.80.4
7.88.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.2
1952
#25
4.50.4
2.01.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1955
#26
2.70.4
3.84.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.8
2679
#36
-1.10.4
2.52.2
Auto
Teleop
End