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Red0
19440.5
22125.6
22163.8
Blue10
26724.9
22113.4
22102.9
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14120203040506070010

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2212
#10
5.61.0
6.85.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.7
2672
#12
4.90.1
5.35.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2216
#32
3.80.8
4.73.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.5
2211
#17
3.40.1
3.73.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1944
#33
0.51.0
2.01.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.3
2210
#15
2.90.1
3.23.1
Auto
Teleop
End