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Red0
221415.0
22306.5
263011.5
Blue2
15777.8
22576.3
19468.4
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3725020608010002

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
15.00.7
15.715.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.6
8.40.6
9.99.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
11.50.7
12.211.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.7
1577
#11
7.80.5
9.28.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2230
#22
6.50.8
7.36.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.2
2257
#13
6.30.5
7.77.2
Auto
Teleop
End