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Red20
193916.0
199714.5
17825.1
Blue22
9094.9
110812.7
17639.8
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3029010204050602022

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1939
#18
16.00.7
10.19.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.2
1108
#16
12.70.7
10.610.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1997
#21
14.50.7
12.311.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.7
1763
#20
9.80.7
10.19.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1782
#46
5.10.7
6.55.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.2
909
#40
4.90.7
9.28.6
Auto
Teleop
End