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Red18
180620.4
20015.0
23857.2
Blue0
23769.0
20087.5
20117.0
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions242301020304050180

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1806
#19
20.40.5
10.510.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 11.5
2376
#37
9.03.1
9.05.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2385
#26
7.20.1
7.27.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.3
2008
#27
7.51.9
5.63.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2001
#36
5.00.5
5.65.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.0
2011
#53
7.01.9
9.47.5
Auto
Teleop
End