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Red10
177716.8
177510.3
17856.6
Blue20
171010.5
193916.0
233410.9
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions382402060801020

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1777
#8Sur
16.82.2
11.39.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.8
1939
#18
16.00.5
9.38.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1775
#48
10.32.2
14.712.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.6
10.90.5
8.17.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1785
#35
6.62.2
10.58.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.9
1710
#28
10.50.5
8.68.1
Auto
Teleop
End