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Red38
19945.4
199714.5
19928.9
Blue20
18057.5
173710.7
20117.0
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions212115202530353820

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1997
#21
14.51.4
11.613.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.8
1737
#45
10.70.1
6.66.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1992
#31
8.91.4
6.07.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.5
1805
#52
7.50.1
6.96.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1994
#32
5.41.4
3.75.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.5
2011
#53
7.00.1
7.57.4
Auto
Teleop
End