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Red24
256011.1
17237.1
199714.5
Blue56
177611.7
9379.7
180620.4
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions33250102040506070802456

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1997
#21
14.50.6
13.012.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.9
1806
#19
20.42.5
9.612.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2560
#24
11.10.5
10.810.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.6
1776
#12
11.72.5
9.311.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1723
#50
7.10.6
8.07.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.6
937
#44
9.72.5
6.79.2
Auto
Teleop
End