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Red16
20126.5
216416.4
21679.7
Blue2
198116.1
20304.4
23574.6
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions22310406080100162

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
16.40.6
11.410.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.3
16.12.3
13.511.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2167
#22
9.70.6
7.06.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.1
2357
#41
4.62.3
9.77.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2012
#47
6.50.6
4.64.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.1
2030
#55
4.42.3
6.64.3
Auto
Teleop
End