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Red20
22019.6
20015.0
9094.9
Blue12
19945.4
23857.2
17695.9
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions21200103040502012

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2201
#14
9.60.0
9.49.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.4
2385
#26
7.20.7
6.96.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2001
#36
5.00.0
3.73.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.9
1769
#34
5.90.7
8.98.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
909
#40
4.90.0
6.76.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.5
1994
#32
5.40.7
5.14.3
Auto
Teleop
End