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Red38
19928.9
144814.3
180620.4
Blue40
199614.6
17647.4
233410.9
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2826010204050603840

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1806
#19
20.40.8
12.213.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.8
1996
#11
14.61.1
12.213.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1448
#17
14.30.8
10.311.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.4
10.91.1
8.89.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1992
#31
8.90.8
5.76.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.5
1764
#23
7.41.1
5.86.9
Auto
Teleop
End