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Red30
20015.0
198116.1
199714.5
Blue24
23574.6
20045.7
241010.0
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2823010204050603024

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
16.10.2
11.211.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.1
2410
#25
10.00.0
9.59.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1997
#21
14.50.2
12.312.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 8.8
2004
#42
5.70.0
6.97.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2001
#36
5.00.2
3.73.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.4
2357
#41
4.60.0
7.47.4
Auto
Teleop
End