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Red54
17647.4
110812.7
177716.8
Blue42
177510.3
17237.1
173710.7
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2929010204050605442

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
16.82.1
11.713.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.1
1737
#45
10.71.1
10.111.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1108
#16
12.72.1
10.112.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.4
1775
#48
10.31.1
11.412.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1764
#23
7.42.1
6.99.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.3
1723
#50
7.11.1
7.88.8
Auto
Teleop
End