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Red64
182711.8
198623.4
21679.7
Blue40
20015.0
23468.4
256011.1
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3619060806440

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.42.5
18.020.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 12.2
2560
#24
11.10.9
10.611.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1827
#29
11.82.5
8.310.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.5
2346
#54
8.41.6
6.68.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2167
#22
9.72.5
7.710.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.7
2001
#36
5.01.6
3.95.5
Auto
Teleop
End