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Red18
20015.0
21679.7
23537.8
Blue44
199714.5
233410.9
233513.0
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions223601030405060701844

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2167
#22
9.70.5
10.29.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.8
1997
#21
14.50.8
12.513.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2353
#51
7.80.5
8.37.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.2
13.00.8
12.213.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2001
#36
5.00.5
5.55.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.9
10.90.8
9.910.7
Auto
Teleop
End