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Red80
213715.6
124318.8
261917.4
Blue50
81515.9
259118.5
32626.3
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions426501001502002508050

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1243
Unranked
18.81.7
18.420.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 7.5
326
Unranked
26.30.6
26.525.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2619
Unranked
17.42.1
13.315.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.0
2591
Unranked
18.50.6
19.118.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2137
Unranked
15.61.9
13.715.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.3
815
Unranked
15.90.6
16.616.0
Auto
Teleop
End