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Red0
20656.3
224212.4
20914.7
Blue30
36417.9
21737.8
19208.4
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions20290406080100030

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2242
#11
12.41.8
8.46.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.5
364
#13
17.90.2
11.711.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2065
#37
6.31.8
6.64.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.1
1920
#40
8.40.2
7.67.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2091
#28
4.71.8
6.44.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.1
2173
#21
7.80.2
8.78.8
Auto
Teleop
End