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Red38
142111.3
130414.7
20788.9
Blue56
45614.3
31411.1
13799.9
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2423010203040503856

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1304
#22
14.71.3
7.38.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.3
456
#15
14.32.7
13.115.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1421
#34
11.31.3
7.99.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.2
314
#33
11.11.6
4.66.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2078
#42
8.91.3
7.58.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.0
1379
#12
9.92.0
6.38.3
Auto
Teleop
End