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Red20
20805.7
46212.1
130414.7
Blue10
44015.7
22062.3
36417.9
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2037060801002010

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1304
#22
14.70.2
9.08.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.2
364
#13
17.92.1
13.811.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
462
#24
12.10.2
10.410.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.5
440
#19
15.71.5
14.012.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2080
#20
5.70.1
2.42.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.5
2206
#35
2.32.1
6.84.8
Auto
Teleop
End