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Red60
155011.3
44015.7
25569.9
Blue14
25807.7
20656.3
20788.9
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions232301020304050606014

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
440
#19
15.71.9
10.412.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.8
2078
#42
8.90.8
9.38.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1550
#14
11.33.1
4.67.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.6
2580
#27
7.70.8
8.27.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2556
#30
9.93.1
7.510.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.6
2065
#37
6.30.8
5.75.0
Auto
Teleop
End