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Red44
192712.3
36417.9
55523.7
Blue48
83215.7
13799.9
14829.8
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions465602040801004448

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
555
#16
23.70.2
22.622.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 6.1
148
#2
29.80.3
31.030.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
364
#13
17.90.3
14.213.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.2
832
#18
15.70.3
15.615.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1927
#23
12.30.3
10.810.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.4
1379
#12
9.90.3
8.48.0
Auto
Teleop
End