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Red4
20805.7
20914.7
22211.8
Blue48
25569.9
190216.3
130414.7
17%Model gave it83%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions163806080448

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2080
#20
5.70.8
6.15.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 10.5
16.30.6
12.012.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2091
#28
4.71.3
4.73.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 9.9
1304
#22
14.71.1
12.513.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2221
#36
1.81.3
8.27.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 8.0
2556
#30
9.91.1
10.611.7
Auto
Teleop
End