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Red10
218218.8
155011.3
20805.7
Blue0
142111.3
25810.3
4912.1
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions23330406080100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
18.81.2
14.012.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.7
49
#25
12.11.7
12.010.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1550
#14
11.31.2
7.76.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Level
1421
#34
11.32.6
11.69.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2080
#20
5.71.0
2.31.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.5
2581
#38
0.34.9
0.35.2
Auto
Teleop
End