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Red22
26310.8
32915.9
41713.9
Blue42
52711.1
8716.7
51410.2
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3430010204050602242

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
329
#33
15.90.7
14.814.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.8
527
#3Sur
11.10.9
12.513.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
417
#24
13.91.0
10.09.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.7
514
#18
10.20.9
12.813.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
263
#29Sur
10.80.7
8.78.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.1
871
#38
6.70.9
5.36.3
Auto
Teleop
End