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Red50
8716.7
16889.5
248718.8
Blue8
5709.0
15377.4
16074.5
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions25280406080100120508

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
18.81.8
12.714.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 9.7
570
#37
9.01.3
10.89.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1688
#19
9.51.7
8.610.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.1
1537
#39
7.41.4
9.78.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
871
#38
6.71.7
3.85.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.2
1607
#23
4.51.4
6.85.4
Auto
Teleop
End