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Red34
4035.6
19737.8
175715.1
Blue74
3505.4
2033.5
6932.8
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions406902060801001203474

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
40
#4
35.60.5
26.726.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.1
20
#1
33.50.5
31.031.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1757
#25
15.10.8
8.77.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 17.7
69
#3
32.80.5
29.530.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1973
#48
7.80.8
8.07.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.4
350
#26
5.40.8
4.45.1
Auto
Teleop
End